Regional Outlook — QLD1: Monday 8 June 2026
The Queensland spot price sits at $99.96/MWh at 06:30 AEST, with total demand at 6,726 MW. This represents a modest easing from the morning peak, which saw prices push above $110/MWh around 17:15–17:45 AEST and demand reach a daily high of approximately 7,905 MW during the 07:30–08:00 AEST window. The overnight trough was pronounced, with prices collapsing to sub-$25/MWh between 11:00–12:30 AEST (UTC 01:00–02:30) as demand fell below 5,100 MW — consistent with typical winter overnight load profiles. The 24-hour price average across the visible history sits in the $70–75/MWh range, placing the current $99.96/MWh reading firmly in elevated territory as the evening load ramp progresses.
The generation mix at 06:30 AEST is dominated by black coal at 4,748 MW, followed by wind at 1,291 MW, battery storage discharging at 317 MW, hydro at 142 MW, gas OCGT at 136 MW, and solar contributing 0 MW given the absence of daylight. Renewable penetration sits at 26.39%, with wind providing the sole variable renewable contribution at this hour. Carbon intensity is 0.643 tCO2/MWh — near the upper end of today's range. The intensity low of 0.414 tCO2/MWh occurred around 10:25 AEST (UTC 00:25) when wind output pushed renewable penetration to 52.36%, illustrating the significant intraday carbon variation Queensland experiences on windy overnight and early-morning periods. With solar offline and wind at current output, intensity is tracking at its highest point of the day.
Predispatch forecasts point to a step down from current levels, with prices forecast at $87.73/MWh at 07:00 AEST, easing further to $63.73/MWh by 09:00 AEST as the evening demand peak passes. A second elevation is expected tomorrow morning, with forecasts rising back through $67.19/MWh at 16:00 AEST (06:00 tomorrow), climbing to a peak of $103.05/MWh at 18:30 AEST (08:30 tomorrow) before moderating through the day. The overnight window from approximately 11:30–14:30 AEST carries forecast prices in the $39.75/MWh band — the lowest of the forward curve — presenting the optimal window for flexible load scheduling. Weather for tomorrow shows partly cloudy conditions (50% cloud cover) with max temperature 21.4°C and average solar potential of 7.6, which should support a modest solar contribution to the afternoon mix.
No market notices directly affect Queensland operations today. The active notices in the feed relate to SA region reserve conditions — a Forecast LOR2 was declared for SA on 10 June 2026 between 10:30–12:30 AEST, though a subsequent notice (MN 144214) cancels this condition as of 02:20 AEST 9 June. Two earlier QLD non-conformance notices (WOOLGSF1, 5 June) are stale and have no current operational bearing. The SA interventions earlier this week (voltage-related direction to Quarantine PS Unit