Load Advisor: Sunday 14 June 2026
NEM-wide spot prices are elevated across all regions at 6:25 AM AEST, with NSW1 at $88.88/MWh, QLD1 at $81.82/MWh, VIC1 at $81.38/MWh, SA1 at $70.08/MWh, and TAS1 at $70.24/MWh. WA1 sits at $200.95/MWh on the SWIS, well above all NEM regions. Predispatch forecasts show NSW1 prices will remain elevated — spiking to $98.15/MWh at 7:30 AM AEST — before dropping sharply to the $46–$56/MWh range from 9:00 AM AEST onwards. QLD1 will push back above $76/MWh from 4:00 PM AEST through to mid-morning as solar ramps up, then ease to the $54–$58/MWh band for most of the day. VIC1 and SA1 present the standout opportunity: both regions will tip into negative pricing through the midday window, with VIC1 forecast at -$2.99/MWh by 4:00 AM AEST tomorrow and SA1 reaching -$2.94/MWh in the same period. TAS1 shows minimal price variation throughout the day, holding flat at $70.24/MWh with no compelling shift window.
The clearest load-shifting opportunity NEM-wide sits in VIC1 and SA1 between 12:30 PM and 4:00 AM AEST (tomorrow), where prices will drop from around $21/MWh at noon into sustained negative territory from approximately 2:30 PM AEST. The deepest negative prices in both regions — around -$2.30 to -$2.99/MWh in VIC1 and -$2.35 to -$2.94/MWh in SA1 — will persist across a roughly four-hour block from 1:30 PM through to 4:00 AM AEST. Operators with flexible industrial load, hot water systems, battery charging schedules, or interruptible processes in those regions should target the 1:30 PM–4:00 AM AEST window to maximise value. NSW1 offers a secondary opportunity with prices falling to $42.75/MWh at 2:00 PM AEST and holding in the $46–$58/MWh range through to at least 4:00 AM AEST tomorrow — a saving of $42–$55/MWh against this morning's spot.
For QLD1, avoid scheduling discretionary load between 4:00 PM and 11:00 AM AEST, when prices will range from $72.50/MWh to $92.26/MWh through the morning peak. The best QLD1 shift window is the overnight trough from 9:00 PM to 2:30 AM AEST, where prices fall to $37–$43/MWh — a saving of up to $56/MWh against current spot. In NSW1, avoid the 7:30 AM–11:00 AM AEST window where prices sit above $70/MWh before easing. TAS1 operators have limited incentive to shift on price alone today given the flat $70.24/MWh profile; process