Load Advisor: Friday 12 June 2026
NEM-wide prices are sharply bifurcated at 6:30 AEST. Victoria sits at -$2.99/MWh and SA at -$3.13/MWh — both already negative — while NSW clears at $53.73/MWh, Queensland at $53.75/MWh, and Tasmania at $71.69/MWh. WA is the outlier at $116.09/MWh at its last read. The overnight trough will be the dominant opportunity across the eastern interconnected regions, with VIC and SA offering the deepest and most sustained negative pricing, and NSW and QLD following with their own significant low-price windows in the early hours AEST.
**Victoria and SA — act now and hold through to 09:00 AEST.** Predispatch has VIC prices negative from now until around 13:00 AEST (bottoming at -$11.95/MWh at 08:30 AEST), then holding sub-$20/MWh through to 15:30 AEST. SA mirrors VIC through to 11:00 AEST (trough -$11.60/MWh at 08:30 AEST) before prices jump sharply to ~$98–$101/MWh from 02:30 AEST onward through the business day — SA operators must complete any flexible load runs before 10:00 AEST to avoid that step-up. The VIC-to-SA spread from 02:30 AEST is significant: VIC stays below $20/MWh while SA hits $98/MWh, so SA-connected loads with any flexibility should prioritise the current window aggressively.
**NSW and QLD — target 10:00–14:00 AEST for best value.** NSW prices will drop from the current $53.73/MWh to a trough of $8.73/MWh at 09:30 AEST, with a sustained low band of $11–$24/MWh from 07:00–14:00 AEST. The morning peak ramp begins at 16:30 AEST reaching $81–$98/MWh through the daylight hours, so any shiftable NSW load should be scheduled between 09:30 and 14:30 AEST and wound back before 16:30 AEST. QLD follows a similar profile: prices fall through near-zero to -$1.92/MWh between 10:30–11:00 AEST, hold in the low single digits through to around 14:00 AEST, then ramp to $76–$89/MWh from 16:00 AEST onward. QLD operators have the longest low-price runway of the mainland regions — roughly six hours of sub-$12/MWh pricing — before the morning peak asserts.
**Tasmania offers no compelling shift window today.** Prices sit at $71.69/MWh now and the predispatch profile holds them in the $60–$78/MWh band continuously through to at least 06:00 AEST tomorrow, with no material trough. The marginal improvement in the afternoon (down to ~$60.10/MWh from 14:30 AEST) offers a fair-quality window but represents the ceiling of savings in this region today. TAS flexible load operators should treat today as a carry day and reass