regional tas — TAS1
The spot price in Tasmania sits at $75.22/MWh as of 06:30 AEST, down sharply from the overnight peak of $240.95/MWh reached around 08:00 AEST on 20 April and well below the sustained $110/MWh band that held through much of the prior 24 hours. The current 24-hour price trajectory shows a clear downward correction, with prices having eased from the $96–$110/MWh range through the afternoon and evening before stepping down to $75.22/MWh at 06:05 AEST this morning. Total demand sits at 1,058 MW, up from the overnight trough of around 954 MW but well below the morning peak of 1,293 MW seen earlier in the price history.
The generation mix is led by hydro at 600 MW and wind at 127 MW, with gas OCGT contributing 0 MW. Carbon intensity registers at 0 tCO2/MWh with renewable penetration at 100%, a position that has held consistently across every recorded interval throughout today. The absence of any gas dispatch reflects the adequacy of hydro and wind output relative to current demand levels. No solar generation is recorded, consistent with the current cloud cover of 69% and Tasmania's autumn solar profile at this hour.
Predispatch forecasts point to prices holding in the $75–$77/MWh range through the 07:00–11:00 AEST window, suggesting the current low-price environment is expected to persist into the mid-morning. The 21:30 AEST half-hour interval (yesterday's forecasting data) had earlier carried forward estimates as high as $180/MWh but these were revised down progressively to $96.26/MWh by the 07:00 AEST forecast run, indicating AEMO's dispatch outlook moderated materially as the trading day unfolded. Load window data across 10:00–11:00 AEST consistently shows forecast prices at $75.22/MWh, rated "good" quality across all runs.
On market notices, AEMO has issued a substantial run of active "Prices Subject to Review" notices under NER clause 3.9.2B (Manifestly Incorrect Inputs) covering intervals from 00:05 through to 06:20 AEST today. Two confirmed "Prices Unchanged" notices have been resolved — for intervals 02:25 and 03:25 AEST, with AEMO determining manifestly incorrect inputs did not apply and prices standing. The review notices for the 05:25–06:20 AEST window remain active and unresolved at time of publication; traders should monitor for any retrospective price revisions across these intervals before settlement.