regional tas — TAS1

The spot price in Tasmania sits at $88.16/MWh as at 06:30 AEST, with total demand at 1,075 MW. Reviewing the 24-hour price history, Tasmania has traded in a tight band between roughly $55/MWh and $96/MWh across the period, with the dominant price anchor firmly at $88.20/MWh for the bulk of the morning and afternoon intervals. A brief softening to the mid-$50s occurred between approximately 15:00–17:00 AEST (UTC 05:00–07:00), before prices recovered back to the $88 level. The price signal has been notably stable and range-bound, with the $88.20 floor appearing repeatedly as a clearing price throughout the trading day.

The generation mix is straightforward: hydro is contributing 604 MW and wind 113 MW, with gas OCGT at zero output. Combined, that puts total metered generation at approximately 717 MW against recorded demand of 1,075 MW, indicating the Basslink interconnector (T-V-MNSP1) is importing power from Victoria to cover the balance. Carbon intensity sits at 0 tCO2/MWh with renewable penetration recorded at 100% of local generation — hydro and wind account for all metered output, and the OCGT fleet is offline. It is worth noting the carbon accounting applies to local generation only; any Basslink imports from Victoria carry their own emissions profile.

Predispatch forecasts point to a price step-up for the next few intervals. Forecasts for the 07:00 AEST interval (21:00 UTC) are clustering around $88.16–$96.20/MWh, with the consensus leaning toward the higher end at $96.18/MWh. The 07:30 AEST interval is similarly forecast at $96.18/MWh across most predispatch runs. Beyond that, prices are expected to ease back toward the $88/MWh range through the 08:30–09:00 AEST window, consistent with the Saturday morning demand trough. There is no Tasmania-specific dispatch or generation notice active today. The most relevant network notice for this region is the active inter-regional transfer notice for the Tarrone–Heywood/APD 500 kV line outage in Victoria (invoked 12:00 AEST 17 April, constraint set V-HYTR), which affects interconnector flows on the V-SA and T-V-MNSP1 paths — traders should monitor whether this constraint continues to tighten Basslink headroom through the morning peak as Victorian demand lifts. The MSATS eMDM maintenance outage scheduled for 26 April (10:00–14:00 AEST) has no bearing on today's trading.