regional tas — TAS1
The spot price sits at $88.14/MWh as of 06:30 AEST, with total demand at 1,002 MW. Tracing the 24-hour arc, prices traded in the $96–$100/MWh band through the morning peak and mid-morning plateau before easing through the afternoon into a $52–$69/MWh range during the 14:00–18:00 AEST window, then recovering to the current level as demand builds into the early evening. The intraday low touched $20.08/MWh at 05:15 AEST — a brief but sharp dip — before prices rebounded. The current $88.14/MWh represents a meaningful step down from the $110–$118/MWh spikes recorded during the 07:00–07:30 AEST morning peak.
Generation sits at 469.73 MW total dispatched output, split between hydro at 395.50 MW (84.2%) and wind at 74.23 MW (15.8%). Gas OCGT is offline at 0 MW. Carbon intensity is 0 tCO2/MWh with renewable penetration at 100%, a reading that has held consistently across every recorded interval today. The gap between dispatched generation (469.73 MW) and reported demand (1,002 MW) reflects flows from Victoria via Basslink, meaning Tasmania is a net importer at present — a normal operating posture when hydro dispatch is being conserved.
Predispatch forecasts point to prices lifting moderately into the evening. The 07:00 AEST half-hour interval (21:00 UTC) is forecast at $96.16/MWh, rising to approximately $104–$106/MWh for the 07:30 AEST interval, consistent with the typical Tasmanian evening ramp as demand climbs toward the 1,150–1,180 MW range seen in today's morning peak. The load window analysis flags the 08:00–09:00 AEST band (22:00–23:00 UTC) as a relative softening period, with several forecast prints in the $72–$73/MWh range rated "good" quality — useful for flexible load operators considering shift timing. Overnight, prices are broadly expected to settle back toward the $58–$88/MWh corridor.
No market notices directly affect Tasmania today. The active notices in the feed relate to SA1 contingency reclassifications (Penola West and Kincraig lines, now reverted to non-credible following the passage of lightning activity), historical NSW1 and QLD1 non-conformance events, and various SA market intervention and system maintenance items — none of which carry direct operational implications for TAS1. The MT PASA reserve notice published 7 April confirms no Low Reserve Conditions are identified across the NEM over the medium-term outlook.