regional tas — TAS1
The spot price in Tasmania sits at $96.18/MWh as of 06:30 AEST, with total demand at 956 MW. Over the past 24 hours, prices have ranged from a low of $49.18/MWh in the early evening to intraday spikes reaching $110.29/MWh, with the most sustained pricing band clustering firmly around the $88–$96/MWh range through the business hours. The weighted price trend across the period points to a 24-hour average in the high $80s to low $90s, meaning the current price sits at the upper end of the day's typical range. Demand peaked earlier in the morning above 1,125 MW before easing through the midday period and is now rebuilding toward the evening shoulder.
The generation mix is running entirely on hydro and wind. Hydro is contributing 335 MW and wind 117 MW, with gas OCGT at zero output. Carbon intensity registers at 0 tCO2/MWh with 100% renewable penetration — a reading that has been consistent across every reported interval through the past 24 hours with no deviation. This reflects Tasmania's structural position as a primarily hydro-firmed system, with wind providing additional variable output; no fossil-fuel dispatch has been required across the entire reporting window.
Predispatch forecasts for the next several half-hour intervals to 07:00 AEST are anchored at $96.18/MWh, with one forecast run pointing to a potential step-up to $108.08/MWh at the 07:30 AEST interval — a signal worth watching as evening demand builds. Forecasts extending through the overnight period show prices easing back into the $88/MWh range through the small hours, with some runs printing as low as $66–$70/MWh between 01:00 and 05:00 AEST, before morning demand lifts prices back toward $96/MWh and beyond. The predispatch spread for the 08:00–10:30 AEST window shows isolated runs exceeding $101/MWh, indicating some uncertainty around the morning peak.
No market notices are directly affecting Tasmania today. The active notices in the system are all SA-region matters: an AEMO direction issued for voltage management in SA remains in effect (Market Notice 140940), a foreseeable intervention for SA from 21:30 AEST tonight was flagged then cancelled (140945/140946), and a Forecast LOR1 condition for SA between 04:30 and 09:00 AEST was declared (140941) though a separate cancellation notice (140942) has since been issued. A non-conformance for QLD unit BARRON-1 (140947) is also active but has no bearing on Tasmanian operations. Tasmanian participants should monitor the Basslink interconnector position and any SA system security developments given the ongoing intervention activity on the mainland, as interconnector flows can influence Tasmanian dispatch economics.