regional tas — TAS1
The spot price in Tasmania sits at $106.72/MWh as of 06:30 AEST, with total demand at 997 MW — up from the overnight trough of around 748 MW recorded in the early hours. Prices have traded in a broad band today, reaching intraday highs above $119/MWh during the late evening peak before easing through the small hours to a floor near $67/MWh, then recovering into the morning. The 24-hour average has been anchored in the $90–$96/MWh range for much of the day, with the current $106.72/MWh print reflecting the morning demand ramp on a cool Saturday (ambient temperature 10.2°C, heating demand index at 7.8).
Tasmania's generation mix is running entirely renewable at this interval. Hydro is contributing 329.66 MW and wind 62.05 MW, with gas OCGT offline at 0 MW. Renewable penetration sits at 100% and carbon intensity is 0 tCO2/MWh — a position the region has held continuously across every recorded interval in the dataset, stretching back through the overnight period. This is Tasmania's structural advantage: the hydro-dominant system routinely achieves zero-carbon dispatch without any fossil fuel commitment.
Predispatch forecasts point to a price step-down, with the 07:00 AEST trading interval forecast at $96.24/MWh — a reduction of approximately $10.48/MWh from the current spot. The forward load window forecasts hold $96.24/MWh through the 07:30 AEST interval, edging slightly to around $95.84–$96.24/MWh at 08:00 AEST, before drifting marginally into the $94.59–$97.66/MWh range through the 09:00 AEST period. The trajectory is broadly flat to slightly softer as Saturday demand patterns take hold and hydro dispatch adjusts accordingly.
AEMO has issued a significant volume of active market notices under Clause 3.9.2(b) — Manifestly Incorrect Inputs — covering a continuous sequence of trading intervals from 01:35 AEST through to 06:30 AEST today. At last count, more than 20 intervals remain under active price review, with several earlier intervals (02:05, 02:15, 02:25, 03:40, 04:15, 04:40, 05:15 AEST) subsequently confirmed as unchanged following review. Intervals from 05:20 AEST through 06:30 AEST are still under active review as of this briefing. Traders should treat settled prices across this morning's pre-dawn block as provisional; any retrospective adjustments could affect metered position calculations for the affected trading intervals.