regional tas — TAS1
Tasmania's spot price sits at $96.24/MWh with total demand at 1,044 MW as of 06:30 AEST. The generation mix is entirely renewable: hydro is contributing 303 MW and wind 151 MW, with gas OCGT offline at 0 MW. Carbon intensity registers at 0 tCO2/MWh with 100% renewable penetration — a position the region has held continuously across the entire 24-hour history in the dataset. Prices over the past 24 hours have traded in a narrow band between $88.20/MWh and $168.13/MWh, with the $96.22–$96.24/MWh level acting as a persistent floor throughout the trading day. The brief spike to $168.13/MWh at around 15:55 AEST and the cluster of prints between $129–$163/MWh during the 02:35–03:15 AEST window stand out as the day's volatility events, though prices snapped back quickly on both occasions, suggesting constrained but responsive dispatch conditions rather than sustained scarcity.
Predispatch forecasts point to upward price pressure in the near term. The 07:00 AEST trading period is forecast at $106.72/MWh, and earlier predispatch runs issued around 13:30–15:30 AEST were flagging that same interval as high as $178.15/MWh before moderating to the $124.50/MWh range and settling at $106.72/MWh in the most recent runs. The 08:00 AEST window carries a forecast of approximately $88.22/MWh, suggesting prices ease off as demand tracks lower post-morning peak. The 08:30 AEST period is forecast between $100–$107/MWh. The overall predispatch trajectory for the next two hours shows prices hovering in the $96–$107/MWh range with no sign of a material spike, though the volatility seen in earlier intervals warrants caution for the 07:00 AEST window specifically.
On market notices, there are no active notices directly affecting TAS1. The active contingency reclassification (Market Notice 137161) concerns the Kamerunga–Barron Gorge 132kV double-circuit in QLD1 due to lightning, active since 06:11 AEST today. While this has no direct constraint on Tasmanian dispatch, any tightening on the QLD–NSW interface has downstream implications for Basslink flows if VIC1 tightens in response. Separately, AEMO issued a high volume of "Prices Subject to Review" notices across NEM-wide intervals between approximately 00:55 and 03:55 AEST today, with several subsequently confirmed unchanged — these are resolved and carry no current pricing risk for TAS1. Sustainability managers should note Tasmania continues to operate as a zero-emissions region this morning, with no fossil fuel dispatch required to meet demand.