regional nsw — NSW1
The NSW spot price sits at $84.79/MWh at 06:35 AEST, down from a morning peak of $134.89/MWh at 08:35 and a sustained run above $100/MWh through the 07:00–10:30 AEST window. Total demand sits at 7,453 MW, easing from a day peak of approximately 9,085 MW recorded around 08:30 AEST. The overnight trough saw repeated negative prices between roughly 12:00–03:00 AEST, with the floor touching -$25.50/MWh, reflecting light overnight demand against baseload commitment. The 24-hour price profile traces a classic weekday arch — negative to near-zero overnight, sharp morning ramp, elevated midday plateau, and now a gradual descent through the afternoon.
The current generation mix is dominated by black coal at 5,836 MW, with hydro contributing 456 MW and wind at 81 MW. Solar output registers zero at this interval, consistent with the post-sunset timing of the latest dispatch snapshot (06:25 UTC / 16:25 AEST). Gas (both CCGT and OCGT) is offline. Renewable penetration sits at 9.25% at the most recent carbon interval, down from a midday high of approximately 18.77% when solar was active. Carbon intensity is 0.7986 tCO2/MWh, slightly elevated from the 0.7153–0.7202 tCO2/MWh range recorded during peak solar generation around 08:00–09:30 AEST this morning.
Predispatch forecasts point to a modest price lift heading into the 21:00 AEST half-hour, with the most recent pre-dispatch run placing that interval at $84.79/MWh, converging from earlier forecasts as high as $112.56/MWh issued in the early hours. The 21:30 AEST half-hour is forecast at $65.50/MWh per the latest available run, signalling an anticipated step-down as the evening demand ramp passes its peak. Load-shifting windows rated "excellent" are clustered from 08:00–13:30 AEST tomorrow (UTC 22:00 tonight onwards), with aggregate prices near zero or negative across many intervals — optimal for flexible and deferrable loads.
Two active AEMO market notices carry some residual relevance for NSW. Prices for the 08:25, 08:30, 08:40, and 08:45 AEST intervals today were placed under Manifestly Incorrect Inputs review under NER clause 3.9.2B; the 08:25 interval has since been confirmed unchanged, while the 08:30–08:45 reviews remain on the notice register. Separately, a negative settlement residue constraint (NRM_QLD1_NSW1) on the QLD-to-NSW directional interconnector was active for approximately one hour on 13 April before cancellation — no equivalent constraint is currently operating on that corridor today. The QLD contingency reclassification involving the Chalumbin–Turkinje 132 kV lines was also cancelled earlier today and carries no active network impact for NSW.