Load Advisor

Victoria and South Australia are producing the strongest load shifting signal in the NEM this morning. VIC1 prices are currently at -$0.10/MWh and SA1 at -$0.09/MWh, with predispatch forecasts showing deeply negative prices persisting and intensifying through the overnight window. VIC1 spot forecasts drop as low as -$318/MWh around 1:30 AEST and -$209/MWh at 1:00 AEST, while SA1 touches -$285/MWh at 1:30 AEST and -$190/MWh at 1:00 AEST — representing savings well in excess of $1,000/MWh against typical contract reference prices. The core excellent-quality window for both regions runs from approximately 8:00 AEST through to 4:30 AEST, with the deepest negative price intervals concentrated between 11:00 AEST tonight and 2:30 AEST tomorrow morning.

Queensland presents a sustained excellent opportunity from 8:00 AEST through to at least 2:30 AEST, with spot prices forecast to hold in the -$5 to -$35/MWh range during the overnight trough and touching -$38/MWh at 1:00 AEST. This is a shallower negative profile than VIC1 and SA1 but represents a clean window against QLD1's current $56.71/MWh spot. NSW1 is the most constrained of the eastern interconnected regions: current spot is $57.97/MWh, and while predispatch shows prices easing to $18–$37/MWh in the 8:00–10:00 AEST window tonight, there are no sustained negative intervals — the best NSW1 periods are the 8:00 and 10:00 AEST half-hours at $18.67/MWh and $19.01/MWh respectively. Tasmania currently sits at $74.56/MWh with a predominantly $70/MWh base across the overnight window; the best TAS1 windows are limited to isolated periods around 10:00–14:30 AEST where prices dip to $20/MWh — operators using the Basslink-connected load should target those intervals specifically.

For scheduling purposes: VIC1 and SA1 flexible loads — industrial process loads, EV charging fleets, hot water systems, battery charging — should be scheduled to run continuously from 8:00 AEST tonight through to 4:00 AEST, with priority given to the 11:00 AEST–2:30 AEST block where negative prices are deepest and most persistent. QLD1 operators should target the 8:00 AEST–2:00 AEST window. NSW1 loads should be concentrated in the 8:00–10:00 AEST period tonight and held off during the current $57.97/MWh conditions. The risk to watch across all regions is a demand rebound after 5:00 AEST as the morning ramp begins — avoid scheduling load that cannot be curtailed before that point, particularly in NSW1 where prices are forecast to lift back toward $39–$47/MWh by 5:00 AEST. WA1 data is stale and no advisory is issued for SWIS participants on this run.