regional tas — TAS1
The spot price in Tasmania sits at **$88.14/MWh** as of 06:30 AEST, with total demand at 1,047 MW. Reviewing the past 24 hours of price history, the region has traded predominantly in a narrow band around $88.18/MWh through the morning and business hours, with periodic dips into the low-to-mid $70s/MWh during afternoon and early evening intervals — the session low reaching $66.44/MWh around 09:00 AEST. The price has since firmed back to the upper end of that range heading into the Friday morning peak. Demand peaked at approximately 1,195 MW during the 18:00–18:30 AEST window and has eased back as the overnight trough passed.
The generation mix is entirely hydroelectric and wind. Hydro is contributing **336 MW** and wind **43 MW**, with gas OCGT sitting at zero output. Carbon intensity registers at **0 tCO2/MWh** with renewable penetration at **100%** — a position that has held consistently across all sampled intervals throughout the past 24 hours. No fossil fuel dispatch has been required at any point in the data window.
Predispatch forecasts point to a modest softening from current levels. The 07:00 AEST interval is forecast at **$88.14/MWh**, easing to **$84.01/MWh** by 08:30 AEST. Load window signals reinforce this: intervals from 09:00 AEST onward are forecast in the **$65–$72/MWh** range, with several early-morning windows flagged as low as **$44–$53/MWh** between roughly 12:00 and 14:30 AEST. Flexible load operators and battery charging strategies should note these windows as the best-value periods today, with prices climbing back toward the $70s by the 15:30–16:30 AEST window.
On market notices, AEMO issued a significant volume of **Prices Subject to Review** notices under NER Clause 3.9.2B (Manifestly Incorrect Inputs) covering intervals from approximately 19:00 through to 07:30 AEST. Of these, the 19:55 AEST and 21:25 AEST intervals have been confirmed as **Prices Unchanged** following review. Notices for intervals from 20:05 through 07:45 AEST remain active as subject to review — traders should treat settled prices across those intervals as potentially subject to revision until AEMO issues confirmations. The contingency reclassification notices relate to the Mudgeeraba–Terranora lines in QLD1 due to lightning and are now cancelled; no constraint sets were invoked and there is no direct impact on TAS1.