regional tas — TAS1
Tasmania's spot price sits at $106.80/MWh with total demand at 1,117 MW, reflecting the Monday morning workweek ramp-up. Reviewing the 24-hour price history, the region traded as low as $40.22/MWh overnight and averaged in the mid-$80s to low-$90s through the small hours before climbing sharply back above $96/MWh from around 04:30 AEST onward. The current price represents a meaningful premium over that overnight trough, driven by demand climbing roughly 280 MW above its overnight floor as commercial and industrial loads come online.
The generation mix is entirely renewable at this interval. Hydro is carrying the bulk of the load at 408.57 MW, with wind contributing 26.44 MW. Gas OCGT sits at zero. That combination delivers a carbon intensity of 0 tCO2/MWh and 100% renewable penetration — a figure that has held consistently across every recorded interval today. Tasmania's hydroelectric endowment continues to provide clean, dispatchable generation without any thermal backup required this morning. Wind output at 26 MW is modest given the current 8.1 km/h wind speeds and full cloud cover, though the solar potential is effectively nil today.
Predispatch forecasts point to a modest softening from the current $106.80/MWh. The most recent 30-minute predispatch run prices the 07:00 AEST half-hour at $107.19/MWh, with subsequent intervals forecast to ease back toward the $96.24/MWh band — a price level that has acted as a clear floor and anchor throughout today's trading. Load windows from 08:00 AEST onward are broadly priced in the $96–$98/MWh range, with a slight dip toward $88/MWh appearing in some runs around the 08:30–09:00 AEST window, representing modest savings opportunity for flexible demand.
On market notices, AEMO has issued a series of active "Prices Subject to Review" notices under NER Clause 3.9.2B for multiple early-morning intervals between 02:55 and 06:25 AEST, citing potential Manifestly Incorrect Inputs. Several of those intervals — including 02:10, 04:45, 05:05, 05:30, and 06:00 AEST — have since been confirmed unchanged after review. Two intervals, 06:20 and 06:25 AEST, remain under active review as of this briefing. Traders with positions in those intervals should note that final prices are not yet settled. No notices are directly flagging TAS1-specific constraints; the QLD1 lightning-related contingency reclassifications visible in the notice log are unrelated to Tasmanian conditions.