Load Advisor

VIC1 delivers the standout opportunity today: predispatch shows prices collapsing to $8.95/MWh from 09:00 AEST, with some intervals touching near-floor levels, against a current spot of $124.24/MWh — a saving of over $148/MWh. QLD1 is equally aggressive in the overnight-to-morning window, with negative prices forecast from 09:00 AEST (as low as -$7.16/MWh) driven by excess renewable generation. SA1 follows closely, with prices dropping to ~$9.05–$11.17/MWh from 09:00 AEST versus a current RRP of $125.92/MWh, representing savings exceeding $165/MWh. NSW1 is softer but still attractive, with the 08:30–09:00 AEST window forecast at $26–$36/MWh against a current $130.60/MWh.

The avoid window is now through the early-to-mid evening. NSW1 predispatch forecasts $137.73/MWh for the 07:00 AEST period, VIC1 is flagged at $134.91/MWh, and SA1 sits highest at $142.45/MWh. TAS1 is the least volatile region today, ranging $86–$98/MWh across all visible windows with no compelling shift opportunity — flexible TAS load should simply avoid the 08:00–09:00 AEST bracket where prices nudge above $98/MWh.

The primary load-shifting recommendation is to target the 09:00–10:00 AEST window in VIC1, QLD1, and SA1 for any deferrable industrial, commercial HVAC, or battery charging loads. QLD1 negative prices mean controllable loads will effectively be paid to consume. VIC1 at sub-$10/MWh and SA1 at sub-$12/MWh represent the best cost-avoidance opportunities across the NEM today. NSW1 operators should target the 08:30–09:30 AEST bracket for a meaningful but more modest saving of ~$95–$101/MWh versus current spot. Avoid scheduling flexible load in any region between 18:00 and 21:00 AEST, where predispatch forecasts cluster between $85/MWh and $143/MWh across all mainland regions.