Load Advisor

Near-term spot prices sit between $96.69/MWh (QLD) and $109.71/MWh (SA), but predispatch forecasts show a sharp and broad collapse across all mainland regions from 08:00 AEST onward as solar generation ramps hard into Sunday's low-demand morning. The single best load-shifting opportunity across the NEM today is the 08:00–08:30 AEST window, where NSW forecast prices fall to $1.20/MWh, VIC to $1.21/MWh, and QLD to $0.84/MWh — savings of over $100/MWh against current spot. The 07:30 AEST half-hour is nearly as strong, with NSW around $25–40/MWh, VIC around $26–37/MWh, and QLD in the low-to-mid $20s, all rated excellent quality. SA also drops sharply, touching $35.95/MWh at 07:30 AEST — a saving of ~$119/MWh against its current $109.71/MWh spot — before recovering toward $54–65/MWh by 08:00 AEST.

Tasmania is the outlier. Predispatch prices remain anchored near $96–107/MWh through the entire forecast window, with only "fair" or "good" quality ratings and no equivalent solar-driven trough. Tasmanian operators will find meaningful but modest savings shifting to the ~$90/MWh 08:00 window versus the current $106.72/MWh spot, but should not expect the near-zero pricing seen on the mainland.

The primary risk window to avoid is the current evening period and any load scheduled before 07:00 AEST. NSW sits at $102/MWh, SA at $109/MWh, and VIC at $99/MWh right now, and predispatch does not show material relief until solar output builds after sunrise. For Sunday's conditions — low commercial load, clear autumn solar — the 07:30–08:30 AEST block is the deepest trough of the day.

Concrete recommendation: schedule all deferrable flexible loads — EV charging, hot water systems, battery charging, industrial process loads — to execute between 07:30 and 08:30 AEST today. QLD and NSW offer the deepest discounts in that window. SA operators should target the 07:30 half-hour specifically, as SA prices recover faster than the eastern states. Avoid any discretionary load before 07:00 AEST across all regions.